Saturday, July 13, 2024

The conviction of Lucy Letby – miscarriage of justice?

Earlier this week, I was reading “Lucy Letby: Serial killer or a miscarriage of justice?” by Sarah Knapton, Martin Evans, Sophie Barnes, and Will Bolton (Daily Telegraph).

It argues that the conviction of neonatal nurse Lucy Letby may have been a miscarriage of justice.

She was convicted on largely circumstantial evidence and no direct evidence and with no (discernible?) motive. 

Nobody saw Letby harming a child, and the coroner didn’t find “foul play” in any of the deaths.

Also, it seems that the statistical evidence used was a bit questionable:

On the other hand, there is damning evidence against Lucy Letby. There is a problem with insulin. There’s no evidence this could have been “accidental”. And there is no reason other than insulin being purposefully administered, and no reason for it to have been done other than to poison. It would be attempted murder because it was likely to have been fatal if not corrected. She was also caught multiple times standing over babies as they died, without doing anything to help.

It doesn’t mean Letby didn't do it, it's not very clear how they can convict on the basis they have.

The new Home Secretary may have to order a review.

The US Supreme Court’s ruling on the Presidential qualified immunity

This blog post reflects my own thoughts on the Supreme Court decision on the question of presidential immunity, Trump v United States

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The SC recognised a qualified immunity. In summary, Justice Roberts’s majority opinion held that:

  • “Official acts” stemming from core Article II powers carry an absolute immunity from prosecution.
  • “Official acts” within the “outer ambit of executive authority” carry a “presumption of immunity”. 
    • The burden to be discharged by the prosecution.
    • Prosecution would need to prove that the action would pose no “dangers of intrusion on the authority and functions of the Executive Branch”. (A v. high burden).
  • The above immunities are recognised because of the “compelling public interest in fair and effective law enforcement” to “safeguard the independence and effective functioning of the Executive Branch, and to enable the President to carry out his constitutional duties without undue caution.”
  • Former presidents have no immunity for private misconduct.
  • The courts may not inquire into the President’s motives. (a v. important point).
  • With respect to whether an action is official, the question is “which of [his] innumerable ‘functions’ encompassed a particular action”. 
    • The SC’s approach seems to be a negative test of whether relevant action is “not manifestly or palpably beyond [his] authority”.

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The originalist position: conceptualising “immunity” in Article II of the Constitution

For the “originalist”, it’s not the job of the Supreme Court to imagine things as being in the Constitution merely to avoid some possibly unattractive consequences. The Supreme Court’s proper function is not to “solve” society’s problems (or, rather, the perceived problems). The Supreme Court’s job is to look at what is and what is not in the Constitution, and apply it to the cases before them — irrespective of whether it “fixes” the problem. If there is a society problem, then it is the responsibility of Congress as the democratic legislative organ to enact legislation (or a constitutional amendment proposal) to address that societal problem. 

If there’s a provision in the Constitution that makes it clear that immunity from criminal prosecution was to be granted to former presidents of the United States, then the Court should identify it and rule accordingly.

However, the concept of “immunity” per se doesn’t arise in Article II of the Constitution.

To that extent, I liked Justice Barrett’s position. She said:

The Court describes the President’s constitutional protection from certain prosecutions as an “immunity.” As I see it, that term is shorthand for two propositions: The President can challenge the constitutionality of a criminal statute as applied to official acts alleged in the indictment, and he can obtain interlocutory review of the trial court’s ruling.

Instead of searching for “immunity” for Presidential “official acts”; instead she focused on the ambit of Presidential actions which can be subject to criminal prosecution. In other words, it asks whether Congress is constitutionally void from taking certain actions vis-a-vis the president’s nominal act.

Therefore, I think the better argument would be that the President doesn’t have “immunity” per se. The “immunity” simply describes a state of affairs that arises whenever he acts within his constitutional authority. If the President is exercising the authority vested in his office by the Constitution, no outside body has jurisdiction to adjudicate his actions.

Thereafter, this would entail, as Justice Barrett argued, a preliminary determination by the court whether — as a matter of law, not fact — the indictment properly alleges conduct outside the President’s scope of constitutional authority. The sufficiency of an indictment would be a legal question.

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Beyond originalism: the implicit “separation of powers” principles

On the other hand, I do think there might be something missing in the argument that there is no “immunity” articulated in the Constitution.

It seems obvious to me that when the President undertakes his “official acts”, he cannot necessarily be prosecuted for them. Since all executive power is vested in the executive , Congress cannot make a lawful exercise of executive power illegal. Congress cannot pass a law which limits the constitution’s vesting of executive power in the presidency. To do so would violate the separation of powers and would amount to a direct attack on the President’s Article II powers. Acts undertaken pursuant to his Article II powers must be immune from prosecution. Otherwise Article II “grants” nothing.

On a tangential point, as noted above, the Supreme Court expressly ruled that the President’s motives were (in English legalese) “non-justiciable”. This is for the obvious reason that the determination of a “motive” would need to be established by evidence; and secondly, that the judiciary are ill-equipped (notwithstanding traditional separation of powers reasons) to divine the whether a motive was indeed improper. It would amount to the Court substituting its own opinion for that of the primary decision-maker on questions of expediency. This is recognised in English law as the common-sense apportionment of responsibilities in the constitution (Secretary of State for the Home Department v Rehman [2003] 1 AC 153). Lord Hoffmann wrote:

It is not only that the executive has access to special information and expertise in these matters. It is also that such decisions, with serious potential results for the community, require a legitimacy which can be conferred only by entrusting them to persons responsible to the community through the democratic process. If the people are to accept the consequences of such decisions, they must be made by persons whom the people have elected and whom they can remove. (emphasis added)

At any rate, it seems to me that we are drawing inferences from the manner in which the government was established — which may not have been spelled out in specific words. It is not to say that the Constitution is a “living document” and rights arise from its various penumbras etc. Rather, we are talking about fundamental concepts and principles that govern relations between the branches of government.

The Constitution clothes the President with immense powers. That power cannot be exercised meaningfully (& without fear) if it can be second guessed by lawyers at the Department of Justice after the President finishes his term. This doesn’t make the President “above the law”. Rather, it protects the effective functioning of the government which, as Justice Roberts argued, was a “public interest” of the highest importance. 

In my view, the presidency would probably never be the same if immunity (properly defined) is curtailed, even slightly. We have seen the consequences of the reduction in the police’s qualified immunity in the US ... and they become risk-averse. And, apropos the state of US politics, we all know that once one side can “get” the President successfully, the other side will make sure to take advantage just as soon as they retake power.

Justice Robert’s rationale thus stems from (1) the structure of the Constitution and the (2) effective and proper functioning of the Executive (which may otherwise be impeded).

Although imperfect, if a President cannot be impeached for conduct while in office, it is a very slippery slope to believe that he can then be prosecuted for the same conduct after he leaves office. Once a President is out of office, he is no longer subject to a qualified immunity. For the acts undertaken while in office, the “remedy” was impeachment. Since an impeachment is a divestiture of official power of a bad actor, I don’t see why they cannot be prosecuted afterwards too. Even so, since his successor becomes functionally immune, he can cause the predecessor to be prosecuted for acts taken while in office — whether or not those acts were legitimately criminal. Impeachment must remain the proper remedy for Presidential misbehaviour — its ineffectiveness, so far, notwithstanding.

In some respect, it may be argued that there is no need for a specific immunity clause because it is obvious from the impeachment clause that it is the default “remedy”. Permitting otherwise would subject Presidential authority to an ever-present risk of prosecution in a manner not authorised in the Constitution. 

Finally, a question comes up about whether it is justified to extend a presumed immunity for actions within the “outer ambit of executive authority”. I suspect this is because the President’s “official actions” are much larger and broader and may entail prerogatives established under the Constitution and other laws. I think the Supreme Court was probably correct to recognise this, and attach a presumption. 

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Interesting column by Randy E Barnett at the WSJ on the eroding originalism of recent Supreme Court judgments. He noted that the judgement of Trump v United States was a departure from originalism.

Monday, July 8, 2024

Photo: Walking on Millbank

Opposite an art gallery.

Sunday, July 7, 2024

Why I really dislike the Labour government

This past week I voted for the conservatives at our general election. 

I wasn’t voting for a party — I was voting against the Labour party.

As it happens, I needn’t have bothered as my constituency overwhelmingly favoured Labour. But, I wanted to feel that I registered my protest.

However, it seems Labour won with fewer votes than it secured in 2019, when it lost. Its share of the vote was smaller than Tories and Reform UK combined. People have not turned to Labour — they simply rejected the Conservatives and SNP after a spell of awful few years. They reached out primarily to the Lib-Dems and Reform UK.

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Statism

The Conservative Party has made a real hash of things, but a Labour victory will now send us straight back to the 1970s. There is a great article by Janan Ganesh in “Britain will dislike the Labour government in no time” (The FT):

In a word, statism. Labour exists to spend money. No disgrace there: it is the quickest route to some of its social objectives. But with taxes and public debt so much higher than when Labour last governed, the pain this time will be sharper. Here is a prediction. After some initial fiscal restraint, Labour, in frustration, will borrow more — on past evidence, much more — than markets currently expect. If taxes rise, too, the public’s reaction won’t be the kind of grudging assent granted to Gordon Brown’s penny on national insurance in 2002.

Worse, public services won’t improve much because Labour won’t reform them. When Tony Blair challenged producer interests in healthcare and education, unions revolted. Sir Keir Starmer shows little intention of even testing their patience. If the Tories are a lobby group for old people, Labour is one for the public-sector middle class. If the most important social schism under this government is between the wage-earning young and asset-rich pensioners, expect the next one to be between private and public sector workers. [...]

So, corporatist institutions are going to proliferate. The texture of public life will feel 1970s-ish. Voters will remember that “fat cats” purr away in the state sector, too. Trade union special pleading will be what bankers’ bonuses were under the Tories. The almost mystical faith in “investment” will come under the scrutiny that it somehow escapes now. (What have been the economic returns on New Labour’s decade of investment?). [...]

Voters, busy with their well-warranted dislike of the Tories, haven’t had to reckon with these things for 14 years.

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Other reasons

Some other reasons why I’m dejected about our upcoming 5-year cycle:

  • The “culture war” will be worse under Labour. It’s part of its natural tendency to like telling people what to do — which is more pronounced in the centre left than the centre right. Fine cars, shout at smokers, chip away at property. Indeed, opposition to covid lockdowns came largely from the conservatives themselves rather than any official opposition. E.g. Phillipson recently wanted to depart from the new guidance for schools that bans teaching radical gender ideology, or giving government contracts to “black-led firms” regardless of merit etc.
  • By and large, nowadays, the centre right is more tolerant of divergent views than the centre left — which, esp. on social media, adopt an all-or-nothing approach. People who disagree with Labour on trans “rights” are automatically designated a “fascist” who must be cancelled — most excellently illustrated with the former darling of the left: JK Rowling. It’s part of the saying that the left are constantly looking for traitors. Amazingly, left that used to be the fighting against censorship and were pro-free speech during the 60s right up to recent times. Now, they have flipped that script.
  • They will continue illegal & mass migration to while fostering a culture of “you’re a bigot if you don’t agree” attitude. Our housing shortage is also quite heavily linked to these record levels of immigration, which the Labour party is even more ideologically committed to than the Tories.
  • Finally, Labour will bring in their constitutional changes and policies as New Labour which embed them in the structures of government in a way to prevent repeal. It will reflect their own philosophy of life — e.g., the legal duty on public bodies to “reduce inequality” (i.e. the public sector must spend more & redistribute on groups of “victims” of inequality, the House of Lords (see opposite re: Ed West & J Sorel from The Spectator on Gordon Brown’s notions - namely “illegalising all opposition”), votes for 16 y/o and foreign nationals etc.

Monday, July 1, 2024

The Trump-Biden debate

For those who haven’t seen it: CNN presidential debate.

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Biden lost completely

I have only v. serious doubts that President Biden is mentally sharp enough to be President after what we saw a few nights ago. This was not just a purported “cold” or “speech impediment”. Biden looked gone. And he is supposed to be occupying one of the most important and demanding roles for 4 years.

Everytime Biden glances at Trump .. it’s like he’s seeing him for the first time “😦”.

I felt sorry for him. He couldn’t even articulate a half-cogent counter-reply on abortion and Roe v Wade ... a softball question which he must have prepped for.

Without a script or teleprompter, he can barely recall a line or even a policy. I don’t think he knows half of it ... and it was clear he was also inventing statistics and making up stuff (e.g. on inflation or economy).

What a joke.

Trump won the debate, despite his (expected) flimflamming

WSJ had a v. interesting article covering the ridiculous exaggerations & near-hysterics from Trump during the debate.